How to Use Leading and Lagging Indicators in Currency Trading?

Saturday, January 29, 2011




Technical analysis uses charts and indicators to predict the future direction of the market. As a trader, you must master both how to read the different charts as well as how to use the different technical indicators. Technical indicators are basically of two types: 1) Leading and 2) Lagging. Understading how to use both the leading and lagging indicators can give you the edge as a trader. Some of the these indicators are highly useful and considered to be an important weapon in the hands of a skilled and savvy trader.





What are leading indicators? As the name suggests, a leading indicator leads the price action in the market and gives buy or sell signals ahead of the reversal in the trend or ahead of the start of a new trend in the market. Leading indicators are considered to be very important as they give you the trading signal ahead of time. One of the most popular leading indicator is the pivot points. There is a whole method of trading called pivot point trading that has been developed over time. Pivot points combined with fibonacci retracement can be highly effective. Pivot points can be calculated for any market. The other popular leading indicators are the oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Stochastics. However, the problem with most of these leading indicators is that they often give false buy or sell signals. They need confirmation from other indicators.





On the other hand, as the name suggests lagging indicators are lagging behind the price action. Lagging indicators are often later. Sometime too late in giving the buy or sell signals. Since these indicators are lagging, they tell you about the reversal in the trend or the start of a new trend afterwards that might be late for you. Most popular lagging indicators are the Moving Averages. Moving averages are of three types; 1) Simple, 2) Exponential and 3)Weighted. Another very important lagging indicator is the MACD ( Moving Average Convergence Divergence). Moving averages and MACD are widley used by stock traders, forex traders, futures traders and options traders!





Stochastics is one of the popular leading indicators that is used in different markets like stocks, forex, futures, commodities, options almost all the markets. Stochastics is based on a complex statistical formula that you need not go into. You just need to know this that it gives an overbought or oversold conditions in the market. It is scaled from 0 to 100. When it touches 80, the market is considered to be overbough and when it touches 20 level at the bottom, the market is thought to be oversold.





On the other had the MACD ( pronounced Mac Dee) is a lagging indicator that uses three exponential moving averages 12,26 and 9. 12 represent the faster exponential moving average that uses the prices in the last 12 time periods. 26 represents the slower exponential moving average. 9 represent the difference between the two.





So what indicators to use? Professional traders combine the leading indicator with the lagging indicator to make the buy or sell decision. The best combination is combining Stochastics with MACD on 1 Hourly charts to identify the trend of the day. You must master these leading and lagging indicators if you want to make a successful trader.


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Choosing the Best Auto Trading Forex Program




Over 30% of all forex traders outsource some or all of their trading work to an auto trading forex program. This technology's been getting increasingly more sophisticated and able to trade effectively for anyone who uses it up to the full 24 schedule the market. As such, many inexperienced and starting out traders have been using this technology to make the kind of money that they want from the forex market without having to sacrifice the time.





There are dozens and dozens of different auto trading forex programs on the market today, so this is a guide to picking and choosing the best one to suit your needs.





First, you should decide if you want a full auto trading forex program or a trend indicator. Trend indicators are like stock pickers for the currency exchange and find soon to be well performing currency pairs. Accordingly they are recommended primarily for more experienced traders with the experience of trading in the past.





Conversely, an auto trading forex program will place and end trades for you as I briefly mentioned in opening. These programs are better matches for less experienced traders and those without time to even enact trades.





It's also a good idea to get a more conservative auto trading forex program as these boast the greatest success rates of all the automated traders. They only go after trends which display lower risk tendencies and if a currency pair is showing too much risk, it will abstain from trading altogether if it can't find any worthwhile trading opportunities. Again, the main point to take away is that these programs carry the best winning rates.





Also good idea to consult review sites as these can help to give you insights on the differences between these programs.


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How to Use the Best Forex Trading Indicators to Your Advantage




Having the correct tools and best FOREX trading indicators on your side will increase your chances in succeeding in this financial trading market. Let us look at how we can understand and analyze better how to use these tools to our advantage.





We will make it clear first that there is no single trading indicator that will work every single time. It usually takes a combination of two or several indicators for you to come up with a proper strategy to increase your chances of success in trading.





Trends in the FOREX market are usually easy to understand by looking at figures that go up and down in simple charts. They can paint a picture that would be simple for us to visualize from afar what currencies have a better potential for income than others at a certain point in time.





Apart from knowing that, here are some trading indicators that can lead you to a greater advantage by learning how to understand them.





Simple Moving Averages is one indicator that is very useful. It is taken from a certain period of closing prices of currencies that are then summed up and divided by the total amount of periods. In other words, it is the average price of a certain period for a currency.





Bollinger Bands can help by showing the volatility in the market trends. They are labels or tags that show when a currency or commodity has reached an overbought or an oversold level. They can show you assumed lowest levels for you to purchase or the highest levels of the trend to show the best time to sell, and at the same time, show all the deviations of the market flow toward that commodity or currency.





Aided with these, a proper stage for timing must be set. Just bear in mind that you should never try to predict a move and should use your market indicators to get the proper timing.





Good indicators to help you with timing are the RSI or Relative Strength Index and the stochastic. The RSI shows you oscillations of time entries for existing trends, usually preferred in 9-day, 14-day, and 25-day RSI's. The stochastic, on the other hand, has crossovers to help show any movement that you look at by showing contrasting trades between the bullish and bearish divergence from oversold and overbought areas - all against the current currency trend.





Although each indicator has an advantage in a particular area, no single one may be a preferred standout choice. These indicators are the best FOREX trading indicators there are available today but must be blended depending on instance, to create the best market trading strategy for you.


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Forex Indicator Trading - Trading with RSI and Stochastic Indicators




Technical indicators are data points that try to predict how the market will move in the future. While they are not always 100% accurate, technical indicators have proven to be rather reliable signals. In this article, we will briefly discuss the RSI and Stochastic indicators.





Relative Strength Index (RSI)





Without going into too much technical detail, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) compares the recent upward and downward price movements in the market. This





comparison is expressed as a ratio and the result is normalized between a range from 0 to 100.





When we see that the RSI 'line' crosses above 70 points, the currency pair is considered to be 'over-bought'. This means that the buying pressure has been 'too strong' and that prices are likely to come down again soon.





Conversely, when the RSI 'line' crosses below 30 points, the currency pair is considered to be 'over-sold'. This means that the selling pressure has been 'too strong' and that prices are likely to go up again soon.





For best results, the RSI indicator should be used as a trade exit signal, NOT a trade entry signal.





Stochastic Oscillator





Similar to the RSI, the Stochastic Oscillator is mostly used to indicate 'over-bought' and 'over-sold' market situations. Also, it is scaled from 0 to 100, just like the RSI.





This indicator measures the ratio of closing prices with the recent market volatility.





These buying and selling conditions for this indicator are expressed by two lines: %K and %D. The divergence between these lines and the market price action can be a reliable trading signal.


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What's the Best Forex Trading Method?




I can't really speak for most, but the best forex trading method I've ever used was price action. I was just like everybody else who jumped from the latest system that involved stochastics and MACD until I figured out all I needed was right in front of me.





What I came to find out is that all the indicator driven systems rely on lagging indicators. When it comes to lagging indicators you find out you should have bought or sold after the move happened.





Take a look. Back test any of these supposed "best" forex trading systems that you see in forex forums. You know, the ones with 20 moving averages on your screen and a few oscillators below it. When you back test it, doesn't it look absolutely phenomenal? This is basically false advertising.





Do yourself a favor and test it in real time conditions. You'll notice something very interesting. Whenever you see a big move happen, it always takes these indicators a few bars to catch up to the move. So if you are just taking a quick glance at it in hindsight, it looks like an amazing trade. But when traded in real time, you basically missed most of the move.





The great thing about trading price action and why I consider it the best forex trading method, is that it you can forecast with it. It predicts future movement. You can spot patterns that get repeated over and over again. Once you spot them, you'll never believe how many times you missed them. They were happening right under your nose.


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Currency Trading Charts - How to Use the Main Indicators to Forecast Price Movements




Even if you're new to currency trading (or forex) then you'll certainly have come across currency trading charts. And with them invariably come a number of indicators designed to help you interpret what's been happening on the chart and, more importantly, what's most likely to happen in the future. This article will help you decide which of these indicators can help you the most and which can be ignored.





1. Simple Moving Average (SMA)





If, for example, you have a 30 period simple moving average setting then it shows you the average price over the previous 30 accounting periods. So if it is an hourly chart, i.e. where each bar, or "candlestick" represents the price movement of one hour, then the SMA shows the average price of the last 30 hours.





You can tell at a glance from this whether the price has been rising or falling over that period. This in turn shows you what the current "trend" is. If you trade following the "trend", as many successful traders do, then the SMA is your guide.





It's normal to use two SMAs, for example a 5 period and a 30 period, if you're a short term trader, or a 25 period and a 150 period, if you're a long term trader. You then watch out for the shorter period SMA crossing over the longer period SMA, which is often a signal to go long or short, as the case may be. The strongest signal is where the current price goes through both the SMAs at a steep angle.





2. Bollinger Bands





Bollinger Bands are two lines that reflect the volatility of the market, very similar to support and resistance levels. It is frequently found that when the market price touches or goes through one of the two lines that it then tends to return to the middle ground between the two. If the lines are close together it means there is a lack of activity in the market, with little buying and selling. Increased activity causes the lines to spread further apart in the direction the price is moving.





One thing to look out for is where the Bollinger Band lines are close together for a period of time. This indicates a lack of buying and selling, where traders are as yet undecided as to whether the price is too high or too low. Very often, once the price moves through one of the lines there is a strong movement in price in that direction, market activity increases and the lines accordingly move further apart. They are more of a short term indicator.





3. Stochastics





Stochastics uses the moving average principle to determine whether the market is overbought or oversold. The theory is that if the moving average lines are above 70 the market is overbought (which means you should buy) and if they are under 30 the market is oversold (so you should sell, or go short).





4. Relative Strength Index (RSI)





This is similar to stochastics in that it shows if a market is overbought or oversold. It uses the markers of 80 and 20, rather than 70 and 30, but the principle is the same. If your stochastics and RSI indicators agree on an overbought or oversold market then it's a very strong signal to buy or sell, as the case may be.





5. Parabolic Stop And Reversal (SAR)





Everyone would like to buy at the bottom of the market and sell at the top, or go short at the top and long at the bottom. In this case, Parabolic Stop And Reversal is probably the best indicator for spotting reversals in trend. It comes into its own in long term trading. The signal appears on your chart as a series of dots. When the market price crosses the dotted line going up it's a signal to buy, and vice versa.





There are other indicators, and all have their strong points and drawbacks. But your knowledge of these five will help you make a majority of correct decisions on your currency trading account, both for going into the market and coming out with a profit.


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Where to Find the Best Free Forex Indicators

Friday, January 28, 2011




Knowing where to look for free Forex indicators is important to your Forex trading success. As you might imagine all indicators are not created equal. I'm not only to share with you or to find free Forex indicators that at the end of this article I'm going to show you how to grab access to the high-quality free Forex trading system.





Most people seek out free indicators not only to learn to trade Forex, but to help them generate signals so that they can trade successfully. In most cases these indicators are best used as a learning tool. It's best to simply learn from this tool rather than to immediately start using it to trade Forex with real money.





One of the first places that you'll find Forex indicators will be with your Forex broker. Usually your brokers trading platform will come with charting functions as well. Every charting package that I've ever seen already includes free indicators. If you have not officially opened up your Forex account yet you should still be able to get these items on a trial basis using a Forex demo account.





Free Forex indicators can also be found on many of the available Forex forums. In these online trading communities indicators are often shared amongst it's users. This is great because it allows new traders to benefit from the experience of more seasoned traders.





By reading this article you have demonstrated that you are serious about making money in the Forex market. I promised you at the beginning of this article that I was going to share something very valuable with you. Here are the details as promised.


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