Why is it Important Use Forex Indicators?

Tuesday, March 1, 2011




Forex indicators are a series of data points applied to predict movement of currencies. It is a technical indicator containing following components.





♦ Stochastic Oscillator


♦ Relative Strength Index (RSI)


♦ Elliott wave theory


♦ Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)


♦ Number Theory


♦ Gaps


♦ Chart formations


♦ Trends





Stochastic Oscillator:





It indicates the oversold and overbought conditions on scale of 0-100%. In uptrend, the closing prices concentrate on period range's higher part. While in downtrend, the closing prices are near extreme low level on period's range.





Relative Strength Index (RSI):





It is most popular in Forex indicators. The RSI is displayed in range between 0-100 and calculated by measuring the ratio of upward moves to downward moves. The instrument is considered overbought if RSI is 70 or greater, while a RSI of 30 or less, it indicates instrument oversold.





Elliott wave theory:





The theory is a way to analyze market, which depends on Fibonacci number sequence and repetitive wave patterns.





Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD):





This indicator requires plotting two momentum lines. The MACD line refers to difference between two exponential changing averages and trigger or signal line, which refers to exponential moving average difference.





Number Theory:





Fibonacci numbers is a sequence (1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34.....) achieved by adding first two numbers to achieve the third number in the sequence. The ratio between the smaller number and the next larger number is 62%.





Gann numbers:





The Gann numbers refer to methods developed by W.D. Gann to trade instruments, which are based on relation between time and price movement. These Forex indicators are hard to explain, as it uses angles in charts to ascertain resistance, support areas, and speculate the timing of future trend.





Gaps:





No trading is indicated on bar chart by spaces, which are called Gaps. These Forex indicators indicate the market conditions.





There are different types of indicative gaps in Forex indicators





♦ An up gap is displayed on the graph when lowest price of trading day is comparatively higher than highest high price of the previous day. It is a sign of strong market.


♦ A down gap is displayed on the graph when highest price of the trading day is comparatively lower than lowest price of previous day. It is sign of weak market.





Chart formations: There are different chart formations such as rectangle, head, shoulders, and triangle chart, which display different information related to Forex indicators.





Trends: They are Forex indicators that denote direction of prices. Rising peaks and troughs signify uptrend and falling peaks and troughs signify downtrend.


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What's the Best Forex Indicator? Your Own Eyes




Have you been on a forex forum lately?  If you have, then I am sure you probably have seen the endless amount of threads dedicated to the subject of indicators.  They'll talk about the new indicators, generic indicators, (moving averages, stochastics,etc..)  proprietary indicators, expensive indicators, etc....  They all want to know which is the best one?  I have a different question.  My question is does anybody talk about trading> anymore?





Think about why all these traders are seemingly infatuated with forex indicators.  It's because it does all the work for them.  It allows a trader to trade basically on autopilot (for a lack of better word). It allows a trader to just slap on a couple of formulas on a chart (which are lagging by the way) and all of a sudden they don't have to think about the market, because their indicators will tell them exactly when to buy or sell. Oh.....isn't that just fine and dandy.





Let me ask you a question. If the forex market can be traded so mechanically like this, why couldn't a child trade it? After all, the only thing they have to do is wait for their indicators to align.





Real trading requires both discretion and analysis from a trader.  The real way to look at a chart isn't when it's filled with indicators, its when it's completely bare. Looking at a simple bar chart will provide all the information you will need from a technical standpoint. All you have to do is open your eyes and pay attention.


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Exponential Moving Average - EMA Indicator

Monday, February 28, 2011




The exponential moving average is simply a line that is based on the average of a number of period points. Extra weight is given to the first few points, unlike the simple moving average. The SMA on the other hand has identical weighting on all points.





What is the purpose for adding weight? A quantity of traders feel that SMA's do not react speedily enough to drastic market movements. To correct this problem, the EMA's were created.





If you were to enter a 20 SMA alongside a 20 EMA, the exponential moving average will always respond to price movement quicker than the SMA would. There is a disadvantage to this. Because it responds quickly, many false changes in the trend occur.





In a ranging market, this can be very lethal. In a ranging market, virtually all Forex traders pass up the use of any indicator based on the moving averages.





A strategy that is reasonably popular with traders is the EMA crossover. A period of 5 as well as 13 EMA is typically used. The 5 EMA is the lead line, traders buy or sell if it goes above or underneath the 13 line. When the markets are in a solid trend, this strategy does fairly well. In a ranging market, heavy losses will take place.





An additional strategy involves three EMA and utilizes the cross over theory as well. Forex traders pick the EMA of 4, 9 in addition to 18. All three periods depict the short term, long term and mid term trends of a financial instrument.





If both the 9 and 4 exponential moving average lines cross over the 18 EMA, traders buy. In reverse, should both 4 and 9 cross below 18, that is an indication to sell the financial instrument.





While the Ema indicator can be very effective, it takes a skilled hand to truly reap the benefits this indicator offers to traders. While this article has been categorized under currency trading, the exponential moving average can be applied to all financial markets that include commodities and stock trading.


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Forex Trading and Fundamental Analysis




No serious discussion of forex trading would be complete without talking about the subject of fundamental analysis, and it's bearing on the markets. Forex traders should always keep their "finger on the pulse" of what is going on behind the economic scenes of the various countries whose currencies they trade.





Fundamental Analysis can best be defined as the study of the underlying economic and political factors that influence a particular currency. The goal is to attempt to predict price action and trends by looking at many different economic indicators and governmental policies.





Fundamentals for a currency may include interest rates, central bank policies, employment figures, and Gross Domestic Product numbers. These statistics are made public on a regular basis by most governments, and are watched closely by the astute foreign exchange trader.





Why bother with fundamental analysis? The simple answer is because only by looking at the fundamental factors that influence currency prices can you gain an accurate long-term view of where the prices are going.





It gives you the "raw material" as to what is driving prices, but it still does not give a trader the entry and exit points of his individual trades. It will help the trader, though, in developing a plan based on his unique trading strategies and goals.





Many of these economic reports are watched closely by traders, and can sometimes have huge short-term effects on market movement. Some astute forex traders will trade the markets at the time of these releases, hoping to make quick profits from the huge moves that often occur.





Unless you are experienced in trading, and familiar with the huge price swings during these report releases, it is best to stay out of the markets until they settle back down to their normal price movements.





The two releases in the US that tend to move the markets the most are the Employment report and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes release.





While on the surface it might appear necessary that a trader needs an advanced degree in economics, actually a few simple guidelines are all that is needed to make sense and trading decisions based on this data.





Does the data strengthen or weaken the currency of that country? What are the long-term stated goals of that country's policy makers? Do their policies and data support more investment in that country, or make investors more wary of putting their money there?





Fundamental analysis can certainly appear to be a confusing subject and best left to professional economists. However, the retail forex trader can glean enough information from monitoring the major indicators to more accurately predict the strength or weakness of a particular currency. It is a fascinating and never ending study, to be sure!


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Best Forex Trading Indicators - For Bigger Long Term Profits With Less Risk




Here we will look at some best Forex trading indicators and how you can use them to make bigger Forex profits...





Here are some of well known indicators which every trader should make part of their Forex education. We will give you a quick overview of them and some tips, on how to use these indicators for bigger Forex profits.





Bollinger Bands





Gives you a view of the volatility of a currency and standard deviation of price. If you want to trade Forex successfully, you must understand the impact of volatility and standard deviation of price. Bollinger Bands help you see volatility at a glance and while we don't have time to cover all the advantages of Bollinger bands in this article, below you will find a trading tip which is extremely useful for entering a trend in motion.





Trading Tip





In strong trends, buying back to the mid Band (the center moving average) offers a great low risk, high reward entry point.





Moving Averages





Short term price spikes never last long and are normally driven by emotion and prices then fall back to an average which is in line with a longer term moving average. There are several moving averages which are great for spotting areas of value when trend following and here are two of the best.





Trading Tip





Notice in a strong trend, how important the 18 day MA is and how short term spikes away from the average and then returns to it. Take a look at the 40 day moving average as well, as it makes a great stop level in a strong trend.





Simple moving averages are a very effective tool and all traders should study and use them.





Average Directional Movement





Want to know if a market is trending and the strength of a trend?





The ADX line is a great indicator to help you do this.





Trading Tip





Want to know when to bank some profits and get advance warning when a trend might end? Watch for the following:





Watch for a move above 40 and a turn down, as a great profit taking warning. This set up often warns of the end of a strong trend and allows you to tighten stops or take some profit.





Relative Strength Index





The RSI measures the strength of the trend. Trading divergences of the RSI from the price trend can be a great way to warn of a trend change and get out of existing positions or get in to contrary trades.





Trading Tip





Look for changes in the RSI from chart extremes above 80 below 20, to warn of important trend changes and contrary trading opportunities.





The Stochastic





The stochastic is based on a simple concept:





If a trend is strong, the price will close, closer to the high in a bull market and vice versa in a bear market. Trading crosses on the stochastic, with bullish or bearish divergence from overbought or oversold levels, is a great way to time trading signals with greater accuracy.





Trading Tip





Watch for extreme readings in the RSI and a divergence away from the trend then, use a stochastic crossover (also from extremes) to confirm the move and execute your trading signal.





Learn how to use these best Forex trading indicators and combine them correctly and you can enjoy bigger Forex profits.


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The Proven Best Forex Indicators to Enhance Your Income

Sunday, February 27, 2011




There are many forex indicators to choose from that can help you make more money in a shorter period of time than without. However, if you have no idea how to use the indicators they are useless. For the vast assortment of forex strategies and tips there are a few top used ones that are tried and true methods for figuring out the best time and trades to make. First, you need to consider the factors you are most interested in working with in order to find the ideal trading scenario to help meet your specific goals.





For finding when to trade, use the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) method and for what to trade the RSI (Relative Strength Index) or the Stochastic Oscillator are the preferred methods for seasoned traders and brokers alike. Ideally, you would be using all of these indicators together to find the ideal situation for when, where and what to trade. This offers the best situation for you as a trader and allows for you to learn how to find these tactics on your own. After you've used each of these a few times you'll find more confident in your instinct and ability to predict what you need to do when to make the strongest and most lucrative trades.





Regardless of the methods and tactics you decide to use, it's important to have a number of forex indicators in place in order to achieve your goals and learn how to use the forex market. When you are first starting out taking the time to chat with other forex traders and brokers can be a beneficial experience to learn more about forex and how to trade successfully using some of these techniques. Once you have done a few trades and taken some time to watch the forex currency market you will feel your trader's instinct kicking in more and be able to determine the best moves, trades and trends to follow for the highest profit in the best time frame. Remember to stay true to your goals, as getting greedy and concentrating on short term gains often leads to losses and devastation. Set medium to long term goals and work hard and obtain them for the greatest level of success.


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Forex Indicators With Disciplined Set of Rules For Entering and Exiting Trades




Forex indicators used with the technique described below will add to a traders confidence and remove the "should I" or "should I not" traders emotion to a varying degree.





I use a higher time frame (1 hour) to determine the trend, I then change over to a lower time frame and wait for the setup, once this is noted, I immediately select an even lower time frame to enter the trade (this is done to achieve a near precise trading entry) in the direction of the major trend.





The following describes my setup using Technical Analysis and Forex indicators, this can be observed in detail with pictorial and video format when you visit my web site redirected by a link in the resource box.





Plot:


Exponential Moving Average (EMA)


200 Simple Moving Average (MA)


20 Simple Moving Average (MA) 8





I use (EMA) 200 to keep an eye on the trend. If the trend is up, I look mostly for buy signals. If the trend is down, I look for sell signals. If market is trading in a range, you will see that (EMA) 200 stays almost horizontal.





Watch the setup. All you need to win using this system is strict discipline, you must wait for the setup to place a trade. This technique works with all time frames and across all markets if traded with strict discipline.





Buy Signal: When a candle opens and closes above both after (MA) 8 has crossed over the (MA) 20, and a Parabolic SAR is observed, It is time to buy. The stop loss can be set at the (MA) 20 level





Sell Signal: When a candle opens and closes below both after (MA) 8 has crossed over the (MA) 20, and a Parabolic SAR is observed, It is time to sell. The stop loss can be set at the (MA) 20 level





I also use the following Forex Indicators, Bollinger Bands to confirm Overbought and Oversold price levels. I also use the RSI to confirm if the price is in the bullish or bearish area before placing a trade





This is a simple, and powerful method of trading. Emotions are minimized as you place your trade and apply the method. Monitor your trade, and as always use trailing stop loss orders, never terminate a winning trade prematurely, doing this is a guaranteed way of going broke trading the markets. The golden rule is to adjust your stop loss to break even as soon as reasonably possible, however, you must give price the stage room to perform or you will be stopped out too early in the trade





Please demo trade, paper trade, back test my methods, or implement these Forex Indicators in your existing trading, make sure at first you feel satisfied and confident that this is for you... as with all types of trading, make sure you know what you are up against -- and take it from there!


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